BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 56 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength = 87.29
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/28/2021 Home W 100.42 45 0 1A 127 ( 1- 11) Connecticut 11.99 * 33.01
2 09/04/2021 Away L 87.64 24 31 1A 30 ( 10- 2) Oregon -0.79 -6.21
3 09/11/2021 Home W 103.96 63 10 1B 106 ( 2- 9) Cal Poly SLO 15.53 * 37.47
4 09/18/2021 Away W 97.36 40 37 1A 31 ( 8- 4) UCLA 8.93 -5.93
5 09/24/2021 Home W * 76.80 38 30 1A 108 ( 2- 10) UNLV -11.63 19.63
6 10/02/2021 Away L * 74.98 24 27 1A 98 ( 6- 7) Hawaii -13.45 10.45
7 10/16/2021 Away W * 97.35 17 0 1A 86 ( 6- 6) Wyoming 8.92 8.08
8 10/23/2021 Home W * 88.68 34 32 1A 44 ( 8- 4) Nevada 0.25 1.75
9 10/30/2021 Neutral W * 97.97 30 20 1A 50 ( 11- 1) San Diego St 9.54 0.46
10 11/06/2021 Home L * 63.63 14 40 1A 29 ( 7- 5) Boise St -24.80 -1.20
11 11/13/2021 Home W * 86.89 34 7 1A 124 ( 3- 9) New Mexico -1.55 28.55
12 11/25/2021 Away W * 101.62 40 9 1A 110 ( 5- 7) San Jose St 13.19 17.81
Averages 89.78 33.6 20.2
Best game: 103.96 = 53 point win over Cal Poly SLO
Worst game: 63.63 = 26 point loss to Boise St
Team stdev: 12.51